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Shop price inflation nearly doubles in January to highest in decade

Shop price inflation nearly doubles in January to highest in decade
(Photo by DANIEL LEAL/AFP via Getty Images)
AFP via Getty Images

Shop price annual inflation accelerated to 1.5 per cent in January, up from 0.8 per cent in December, marking the highest rate of inflation since December 2012.

The figure from the BRC-NielsenIQ Shop Price Index stands in way above to the 12-month average decrease of 0.6 per cent and 6-month average price rise of 0.1 per cent.


Food prices continued to rise, impacted by poor harvests, labour shortages, and rising global food prices. Food inflation accelerated to 2.7% in January, up from 2.4% in December, above the 12- and 6-month average price growth rates of 0.5% and 1.1%, respectively. This is the highest inflation rate since October 2013.

Fresh food inflation slowed slightly in January to 2.9%, down from 3.0% in December, but ambient food inflation accelerated to 2.4%, up from 1.7% in December, the highest rate of increase since November 2020.

Non-Food inflation accelerated to 0.9% in January compared to a fall of 0.2% in December.

“The rise in shop prices is playing into wider UK inflation, which is pushing cost of living to the forefront of the political agenda. Many households will find it difficult to absorb the additional costs, as well as others on the horizon,” Helen Dickinson, chief executive of the British Retail Consortium (BRC), said:

“Retailers are working hard to cut costs, but it would be impossible to protect consumers from any future rises. As commodity prices, energy prices and transportation costs continue to rise, it is inevitable that retail prices will continue to follow in the future.”

Mike Watkins, head of retailer and business insight, NielsenIQ, said a recent separate study by them has shown that the rising cost of living is the most important concern at the moment for nearly half of all households.

“This will mean stores will need to encourage cash-strapped customers to keep shopping and despite the increase in shop prices, retailers are responding by keeping price increases as low possible for as long as possible,” he added.

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Holyrood can boost growth through small retail in Budget – SGF

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The Scottish Grocers’ Federation (SGF), the Trade Association for the Scottish Convenience sector, said that small retailers are desperate to invest in their businesses, and take advantage of new technologies and sustainable practices, but many stores are now struggling to stay viable.

SGF has called on the Scottish Finance Secretary to ensure that 40% reliefs on Non-Domestic Rates announced for retail businesses south of the border are passed on to Scottish stores. Alongside the extra reliefs, SGF say that the Scottish Government should focus on growth by ringfencing funding through the Small Business Bonus Scheme and freezing poundage for the foreseeable future.

“The Scottish Government has a real opportunity to boost growth in communities across Scotland, and help rejuvenate town centres, by passing on the NDR reliefs announced by the Chancellor," said SGF Chief Executive, Dr Pete Cheema OBE.

“In past years, convenience stores in England have benefited from 75 per cent reliefs, that support has dropped to 40 per cent this year, but it could still be crucial in helping put the Scottish Economy back on track.

“Many SGF members, and small store across Scotland, are facing a raft of challenges. Alongside increases to National Insurance Contributions, hire wage rates, higher inflation, energy costs and the cost-of-living crisis. Not to mention a pile on of regulation across a range of product categories.

“Scottish Businesses have been operating at an economic disadvantage to our counterparts in England. Sorting out the damaging impact of business rates on economic growth and small business in Scotland is a no brainer.”

SGF has also called for an uplift for Police Scotland and Scottish Justice to help tackle the sharp increase in retail crime which is having a significant impact on business viability.

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