The latest findings highlighted by Lumina Intelligence Convenience Tracking Programme reveal a shift towards lighter shopping trips, the impact of weather on daytime meal occasions, and strategic growth in forecourt impulse purchases driven by expanded meal deal offerings.
The Convenience Tracking Programme has uncovered significant shifts in the UK's convenience shopping landscape, indicating a continued rise in market penetration with a notable trend towards "lighter" shopping. The number of shoppers in the market has grown, with an impressive +2.8 percentage point increase in year-on-year penetration. Managed convenience channels are driving much of this growth, reflecting heightened consumer interest in convenience store options.
However, while more shoppers are making trips to convenience outlets, they are increasingly favouring lighter shopping trips. The data indicates a -10 per cent decrease in items per trip, paired with a modest -0.4 per cent decline in total spend per visit. This shift suggests a consumer preference for smaller, more frequent purchases as opposed to larger basket sizes, with customers prioritising efficiency and value.
The data also revealed an increase in share for daytime meal occasions, rising by +0.8 percentage points. This shift is partly due to a rebalancing in food-to-go purchases, which peaked last year during an extended period of favourable weather. This year’s comparatively poorer weather has driven shoppers to consume more meals at home, leading to a greater focus on in-home meal preparation. Consumers are purchasing ingredients and essentials to make meals at home, highlighting a sustained demand for convenient meal solutions that align with at-home dining.
In an otherwise stabilised market, forecourts have emerged as a unique growth channel for impulse purchases, registering a +1.3 percentage point increase year-on-year. Meal deals have been a pivotal driver of this growth, up +4.1ppts as a reason for purchasing on impulse. Leading forecourt operators, including BP and Shell, have expanded meal deal offerings in partnership with established retailers, delivering enhanced value and variety to time-pressed consumers. This strategic move addresses the evolving needs of busy shoppers, who are seeking quick, affordable meal solutions.
The Institute for Grocery Distribution (IGD) has released the report, "A Net Zero Transition Plan for the UK Food System", providing a framework for the food sector to achieve 70 per cent emissions reductions in agriculture and to fully decarbonize heat, electricity and transport.
Commissioned by IGD and developed by consultants EY and WRAP, the first of its kind report provides an independent, evidence-based view for how the UK food system in its entirety, can reduce Greenhouse Gas emissions in line with a 1.5degree SBTi outcome and to meet the UK’s legally binding national target.
Currently, food and drink is the UK’s largest manufacturing industry – it provides 4.4 million jobs, contributes over £100bn to GDP, and generates 30 per cent of all UK territorial emissions much of this relating to agriculture with significant contributions from energy and logistics. The report aims to inform and support further pre-competitive collaboration across the various sectors of the food industry, under the common goal of emissions reduction. It outlines 19 steps that the Government can take to enable this, with a particular focus on strengthening policy for agriculture and energy.
In the short term, the report proposes immediate action by industry and government to support the domestic farming transition and on a set of standards for food imports. Together with action on energy efficiency and low-carbon power generation and significant reductions in food waste, the report shows that 2030 emissions reductions targets are very challenging but achievable.
Kirsty Saddler, Director of Health & Sustainability Programmes, IGD, said: “This UK Food System Transition Plan is a first of its kind approach at unifying wide-ranging perspectives within the food industry around the aim of accelerating progress in emissions reduction. The UK food industry is deeply connected to the climate crisis both as a contributor of emissions but also as an industry that is dependent upon a stable and healthy ecosystem to grow and provide food for the country. All organisations across the system can make better progress, faster, if we work together and with government.”
The framework offered reviews pathways on both the supply side and the demand side, showing the contribution that can be made by the population through diet change, using the NHS Eatwell Guide as a basis. This report also notes the critical role reductions in food waste, particularly by households, can make. Halving food waste in the UK by 2030, in line with UN Sustainable Development Goal 12.3 and the Courtauld Commitment 2030, is estimated to remove about 5 per cent of all food-related emissions.
Catherine David, Director of Behaviour Change and Business Programmes at WRAP, said:“I'm delighted that IGD, with WRAP's support, is launching this report today, which marks a significant step forward towards action on greenhouse gas emissions in the food and drink sector. At WRAP, we are passionate about evidence driven collaborative action which is brought together by our Courtauld Commitment 2030. We hope this report, uniting the whole of UK food and drink, will help catalyse a fresh and focused phase of collaborative action on the urgent issues that industry must tackle.”
Shoppers' spending on FMCG saw a rise in the third quarter of this year, shows a latest industry data, revealing a narrowing gap between own-label and branded products as the growth rates indicate shoppers are now starting to treat themselves to small indulgences again.
According to latest NIQ Retail Spend Barometer, value growth in the FMCG sector was driven by an uptick in the personal care (+10.7 per cent), homecare (+8.7 per cent), fresh food (+5.8 per cent), and snacking (+5.1 per cent) categories. Beverages returned to growth (+2.1 per cent), from a decline of 0.9 per cent in Q2. Meanwhile, the biggest declines were experienced in tobacco (-7.9 per cent) and paper products (-4.1 per cent).
NIQ attributed the rebound largely to the sales boost from the Euros and Olympics, which took place in July and August, and slightly sunnier weather compared to last year. Despite improved consumer confidence in Q2, this stalled in Q3 as economic and financial uncertainty continued to impact consumers. However, within FMCG, lower inflation is now leading to better volume growth.
The NIQ data also reveals a narrowing gap between own-label and branded products as the growth rates indicate shoppers are now starting to treat themselves to small indulgences again. In Q1 of this year, FMCG branded unit growth was recorded at 0.7 per cent compared to 3.1 per cent for own-label. However, in Q3 branded unit growth sits at 1.1 per cent versus 1.7 per cent for own-label.
Ben Morrison, Retail Services Director UK & IRE at NIQ, said: “The first eight months of the year so far have been more optimistic compared to 2023, but shoppers remain cautious. We are seeing more considered purchasing, particularly within T&D as consumers opt to replace products when they must rather than upgrade a working one.
"This also plays to the desire for more sustainable living – beyond just energy efficiency – which is adding to the decision process. When it comes to upgrades, credit schemes offer immediate gratification and are used more often by those on higher incomes to enable upgrades for non-essential big-ticket items”.
“As for FMCG, retailers will be pleased to see a slight increase in the rate of growth in the sector in Q3, largely boosted by the big sporting events over the summer. With the gap closing between branded and own-label items, shoppers are open to spending on certain items.
"However, building financial resilience remains a challenge for consumers. According to GfK’s Consumer Confidence Barometer, a quarter of consumers reported they were ‘just managing’ at the end of Q3 and 1 in 3 said they were unlikely to be able to save in the year ahead. Shoppers, therefore, remain cautious, so as we enter the golden quarter, promotions across retailers are going to be key in persuading savvy shoppers to trade up.”
Halloween combined with Diwali celebrations and early fireworks events proved a blessing for retailers as the two boosted footfall across all UK destinations for the second consecutive week.
MRI Software data shows that footfall rose by +6.9 per cent last week compared to the week before in all UK retail destinations; high streets drove much of this rise with an +8 per cent rise in footfall recorded, followed closely by shopping centres (+7.9 per cent). Retail parks also witnessed a week on week rise however this was much more modest at +3.3 per cent.
A strong start to the week paved the way for a fruitful half-term for retailers as footfall rose by +16.1 per cent in all UK retail destinations on Sunday, compared to the week prior. Shopping centres and high streets averaged a rise of +12 per cent and +11.7 per cent, respectively, from Sunday to Friday. Retail parks, however, saw a much more modest rise of +4.8 per cent for the same time period.
According to Jenni Matthews, marketing and insights director at MRI Software, a "spooktacular" half-term week saw a week-on-week boost in footfall across all UK retail destinations for the second consecutive week, highlighting the impact of the school holidays and events on driving visitors and shoppers to retail destinations.
However, for context, it’s worth noting that in the same week last year, footfall had declined during the same period as schools had already reopened nationwide.
Matthews said, “From Sunday to Friday, high streets saw the strongest daily gains compared to the week before with shopping centres following a similar trend. Retail parks also witnessed daily week on week rises however these were much more modest and may be due to half-term events taking place in shopping centres and high streets driving much of the footfall to these destinations.
“All town types experienced substantial rises in footfall both year on year and compared to last week which is an indicator of the shift in the school half-term holidays. Coastal towns experienced the greatest rise suggesting many continued to getaway for what may be the final time this year before Christmas. Despite forecasted tube strikes for the end of the week, which were called off at the eleventh hour, footfall in the capital also remained strong particularly in office dense areas."
Regionally, Wales and Greater London saw strong performance week on week however the East of England saw double digit growth compared to 2023. The trends seen in Wales and Eastern parts of England may also align with the strong trends seen in coastal towns.
Coastal towns were the clear winners last week as footfall rose by +10.5 per cent from the week before but by almost a fifth compared to 2023 highlighting the impact of the school holidays on footfall in towns and cities across the UK. Historic and market towns also witnessed significant year on year rises of +13.1 per cent and +10.5 per cent, respectively. Footfall in Central London remained +7.4 per cent higher week on week and +18.6 per cent higher compared to last year despite the threat of tube strikes which were called off at the last minute.
Londoners are expected to spend an average of £352 on ingredients for Christmas lunch, festive snacks and nibbles, and all their drinks (both alcoholic and not) for the festive period, forecasts a new survey.
According to the survey of 2,000 Brits conducted by Very, Londoners are planning on spending more than £930 in preparation for Christmas this year, more than any other region in the country. The biggest spend Londoners will make is on food, expected to spend an average of £352 on ingredients for Christmas lunch, festive snacks and nibbles, and all their drinks (both alcoholic and not) for the festive period.
Those living in Greater London are also expected to spend around £306 on Christmas decorations for both inside and outside their homes, including a Christmas tree, door wreaths, and table decorations and centre pieces. Other expenses include board games (£72), Christmas crackers and party favours (£66) and tableware for serving guests (£72).
Following London in the big spender stakes are Northern Ireland and those in the North East. Christmas planning in Northern Ireland is expected to cost £800 on average, while in the North East, spend will average £768 across food, decorations and party supplies.
Those living in Yorkshire & the Humber are expected to spend the least on Christmas prep this year, an average of £562 in total. This includes an average spend of £157 on Christmas decorations, £261 on festive food and drinks, and £143 on things like craft supplies and tableware, reveals the survey.
Insights show that more than a third (39 per cent) of Brits plan to host some sort of Christmas event for friends and family, whether that be Christmas day lunch, a Christmas Eve cocktail party, or a Boxing Day buffet.
Those aged 25-34 are the most likely to host a Christmas event this year, with 56 per cent saying they are already planning for their event, followed by those aged 16-24 (47 per cent) and 35-44s (43 per cent), while over 55s are the least likely to host this year (30 per cent).
But while hosting might sound like a nice offer, it also seems to come with certain worries. Eight of the top 10 Christmas conundrums experienced by Brits centre around food – whether it’s balancing cooking times (28 per cent), cooking Christmas lunch (25 per cent), getting the perfect crisp on their roast potatoes (23 per cent), or simply not having enough food to feed everyone (23 per cent).
Russell George MS has been elected as the new Chair of the Cross-Party Group on Small Shops, succeeding Vikki Howells MS.
The decision was taken during the CPG's annual general meeting held on Wednesday (6). The meeting also saw discussion over the important role of access to cash in local communities.
Convenience store body Association of Convenience Stores (ACS) highlighted in the session the current access to cash trends across the convenience sector and the important role that cash plays in local communities and businesses.
Sarah McKenzie, Financial Conduct Authority (FCA), also joined the meeting to discuss the FCA's latest interventions to protect access to cash for communities in Wales and what this means for businesses across Wales. The CPG committee also heard from Tenby's Vince Malone, who shared his experience of running a Post Office in his local community and why cash is still important for his customers.
The core purpose of the group is to ensure that the voice of small shops is heard within the Welsh Parliament.
George said, “As a former small shop owner, I am delighted to be elected as Chair of the Cross-party Group on Small Shops. This role is vital in advocating for our local businesses and ensuring that their voices are heard. Access to cash is crucial for communities across Wales, especially in rural areas where many residents rely on cash transactions.
“We must work together to safeguard cash access, ensuring that the people of Wales can engage fully with their local economies and maintain the health of our high streets. I look forward to leading this group in promoting policies that support small shops and enhance financial inclusivity.”