Nearly half (46 per cent) of Brits prioritised spending on small, affordable, mood-boosting luxuries such as pastries and cosmetics in 2024 though most shoppers were bothered by "double-dip" shrinkflation majorly seen in snacks and chocolates, states a recent industry report, charting out top 10 trends that shaped consumer behaviour last year.
New data from Barclays reveals that essential spending grew just 0.9 per cent in 2024, down from 3.9 per cent last year, as spending on fuel fell while supermarket growth slowed.
The Barclays Consumer Spend report, which combines hundreds of millions of customer transactions with consumer research to provide an in-depth view of UK spending, reveals the top 10 trends that shaped consumer behaviour this year.
'Spendanova' for experience-loving Brits
Brits prioritised spending on memorable experiences in 2024, with the entertainment sector enjoying a 5.8 per cent uplift. Those who spent on entertainment in 2024 each spent £343 on average.
Spending on live shows and concerts increased 6.7 per cent thanks to ticket sales and attendance at major musical events such as The Eras Tour, Sabrina Carpenter, Coldplay World Tour, and Oasis’s reunion.
Treatonomics and the ‘lipstick effect’
Cutbacks continued for countless consumers, but many adopted a “treat yourself” attitude in 2024. Nearly half (46 per cent) of Brits say they prioritise spending on small, affordable, mood-boosting luxuries such as pastries and cosmetics, even while tightening budgets.
Among this group, baked goods were a particularly popular ‘pick-me-up’, chosen by 43 per cent at an average monthly spend of £22 each, with crookies and pistachio desserts among the year’s top trending treats.
Demand for little luxuries also boosted pharmacy, health and beauty retailers, up 7.1 per cent, further demonstrating the impact of the "lipstick effect", where shoppers prioritise cosmetics purchases, even when limited spending. ‘Beauty spenders’ splashed out £291 each on average in 2024.
Double-dip shrinkflation
Shrinkflation emerged as one of supermarket shoppers’ top scourges in 2023, while this year saw ‘double-dip’ shrinkflation bite. Two thirds (64 per cent) of cost-conscious Brits noticed ‘double-dip’ shrinkflation in 2024, where products go through two or more rounds of size reductions without a corresponding drop in price.
According to this group, the five most cited products hit by ‘double-dip shrinkflation’ were chocolate (54 per cent), crisps (39 per cent), packs of biscuits (34 per cent), snack bars (32 per cent) and sweets (32 per cent).
Brits find creative ways to save
Consumer confidence in household finances showed tentative signs of recovery this year, reaching an average of 69 per cent, up from 64 per cent on average in 2023. Brits took control over their finances and embraced new ways to save; almost a quarter (23 per cent) say they have participated in or would consider participating in a “no-spend” challenge, which involves refraining from making non-essential purchases, such as takeaways, coffees and clothes.
Almost half (45 per cent) said they were cooking more at home to save money, while setting clearly defined spending goals (such as saving for a holiday or building an emergency fund) and planning expenses in advance also proved to be popular.
Television thrives
Demand for digital content soared in 2024, emerging as the year’s strongest performing category, up 13.2 per cent – nearly twice the 7.3 per cent increase seen in 2023.
“Streamflation”, the rising price of streaming subscriptions, also took effect; 59 % of Brits expressed concern about their digital subscriptions becoming more costly. Despite this, only 27% of those cutting down their discretionary spending said that they would reduce their spending on the category.
Brits continue to pull up a bar stool
Brits continued to flock to bars, pubs and clubs in 2024, as the sector recorded a modest 3.6 per cent year-on-year increase, fuelled by a summer of sport and a desire for festive socialising, with Brits that ventured to the pub spending £344 on average each throughout 2024. Growth at pubs outperformed restaurants in 2024, which were up just 1.7% in comparison, suggesting Brits opted for more casual, relaxed socialising in the last year.
Grocery Slowdown
Growth in supermarket spending slowed to 1.3 per cent, down from 6.5 per cent in 2023.
In a year of determined budgeting, cost-conscious shoppers continued to look out for loyalty scheme discounts and supermarket deals. Encouragingly, Barclays Consumer Confidence data found over a third (36 per cent) of shoppers have noticed food prices rising at a slower rate in recent months.
Easing pressure on household finances
There was welcome relief for households as concerns about inflation and the cost of energy bills both began to ease at the midway point of the year.
Brits take to the skies
Travel sector spending stayed strong in 2024, up 6.9 per cent, but lagged behind 2023, when growth reached 15.2 per cent. Holidaymakers spent £1,117 on average each on travel, and travel agents (7.9 per cent) and airlines (7.5 per cent) both saw significant uplifts in the period.
Homeowners choose sustainability over style
Spending on home improvements & DIY dropped -7.3 per cent year-on-year, while furniture stores also recorded a -2.2 per cent fall, indicating that Brits have been making fewer home décor purchases, instead favouring experience-led categories.
Whilst energy bills remained below 2023 levels, the energy price cap rise and colder weather kept home heating on the agenda. A quarter of homeowners reported making energy efficiency improvements to their home in 2024. Of those making changes, over half (52 per cent) are seeking to reduce long-term energy use and a fifth hope to increase the value of their property.
Karen Johnson, head of retail at Barclays, said, “2024 demonstrated Brits’ strong appetite for experiences very clearly, spending selectively elsewhere in order to find room in their budgets for the moments and treats that the most matter to them.
“From The Eras Tour to the much-anticipated Oasis reunion; blockbusters at the cinema to quality content on the couch; pastries to lipsticks and planning trips abroad, Brits collectively said ‘yes’ to joy in their spending, even against a backdrop of rising bills and living costs.
“This conscious consumerism will continue to shape spending in the new year, with entertainment likely to maintain its momentum, as Brits continue to embrace their ‘new essentials’.”
Trust in UK-produced food has reached its highest level since 2021 following three years of falling confidence in standards.
Most (75 per cent) adults now say they trust food produced in the UK. This is a rise from 71 per cent in 2023, although still below the level of trust felt by shoppers in 2021 (81 per cent).
The figure rises to 91 per cent when consumers are asked whether they trust food "exclusively produced" within the UK.
Significantly, more people now say they trust UK food more than NHS care, water from the tap, or any other core service or utility.
A clear majority (85 per cent) of respondents to the survey say they trust the country's farmers, compared to just 9 per cent of whom express distrust.
Animal welfare remains the most important aspect of food production for consumers, and 72 per cent of adults say farmers follow good animal welfare standards.
And a majority of respondents (72 per cent) say that assurance labels were a reason to trust food, while 77 per cent say that labels showing where food comes from helps build trust.
The findings, which draw on research from over 3,000 UK consumers, form part of Red Tractor’s annual Trust in Food Index. First produced in 2021, it is designed to provide the most comprehensive assessment of consumer attitudes to food in the UK.
Jim Moseley, CEO of Red Tractor, said the past four years had been 'brutal' for the food and farming industry. Farmers have particularly faced a series of challenges, such as severe weather events, poor harvests, and the prospect of rising taxes on the horizon.
"Not since the foot-and-mouth crisis over 20 years ago has the food industry had so much to contend with," he said.
But this year’s findings will likely give a boost following years of rising costs and higher prices for consumers.
Meanwhile, the importance of the Red Tractor logo when choosing food has risen to its highest level in the four years since the Trust in Food Index began.
Moseley concluded, "It should be a source of huge pride to everyone involved in food production in the UK that food is now more trusted than water or any other basic service we rely on every day
"Despite the extremely challenging environment, farmers’ efforts to work to some of the highest standards in the world has played a significant role in driving a resurgence of consumer trust in UK food."
Convenience retail continues to remain a robust sector despite rising crime and state intervention on unhealthy products, states leading property adviser Christie & Co today (16) in its annual report.
Christie & Co's report "Business Outlook 2025" reflects on key market activity, trends and challenges of 2024 and forecasts what 2025 might bring across the industries, including the convenience retail sector.
The report notes that in 2024 retail deal activity continued in the same strong vein as in H2 2023, and convenience retail remains a robust sector driven by need, providing solid investment opportunities. As such, Christie & Co's retail price index rose by 7.3 per cent.
Despite operational challenges from rising crime and state intervention on unhealthy products, there was a strong demand for opportunities.
According to Christie & Co 2024 data revealed in the report, there was a 20 per cent increase in the number of stores sold compared to 2023, with an average of ten viewings per sale.
Ever-increasing overheads will continue to present challenges for store owners and are causing the multiples to increase the turnover threshold for profitable stores.
Christie & Co notes that, as costs rise, continued divestment from corporate multiple retailers is expected and these divestments will inevitably present new opportunities for independent buyers in 2025.
The report also outlines Christie & Co's market predictions for the year ahead
Retailers will continue to face rising costs as a result of measures outlined in the Autumn Budget, and this will affect wages in particular.
This has the potential to cause inflation. However, as convenience stores are needs-driven, consumers will accept price rises or seek out value for money, states the report.
Retailers may be less inclined to hire more staff because of increasing wages and taxations, as announced in the Budget.
Due to increasing Government restrictions on unhealthy products, suppliers will have to adapt their offerings to fit requirements or sellers will have to evolve their product range, the report added.
It is unlikely that there will be a reduction in demand for sites, but purchasers will most likely factor cost increases into their offers while divestments from corporate multiple retailers are expected to continue as they continue to see costs go up and "tail end" stores may struggle, states the report.
Steve Rodell, Managing Director of Retail and Leisure at Christie & Co comments, “We are in the very fortunate position to be at the forefront of convenience retail business-to-business transactions, and we have worked very hard to become the market leaders.
"This is now a valuable position to be in, as other areas of retail, including much of the high street, struggle with internet shopping and multiple channels of competition.
"Convenience retail remains a needs-based sector, and as long as retailers listen to customers and satisfy local demand there is a good future for the convenience store.”
"Cultural entropy" costs retailers an estimated £10.8 billion annually, making up almost a tenth of the £122 billion lost annually across UK industries due to workplace fear, amounting to 5 per cent of the nation’s GDP, states a recent report.
According to research by Katharine Williams, founder of Neema, in terms of economic loss, the retail sector ranks fifth, sitting below healthcare, manufacturing, real estate and construction and financial services.
The rise of e-commerce, automation in supply chains, and data-driven decision-making has transformed operational models.
This shift has increased pressure on leadership to adapt quickly, often leading to fear-based behaviours amplified by job security concerns, evolving customer expectations, and the challenge of balancing technological innovation with workforce retention, states the report.
Defined by the Barrett Values Centre, cultural entropy is a measure of unproductive and fear-based leadership behaviours such as blame, bureaucracy, and mistrust, which divert critical resources and energy away from productive activities, hampering revenue growth and impacting employee engagement across various sectors.
In terms of cultural entropy, by comparison to other sectors retail performs quite well with an entropy score of 17 per cent, sitting below sectors such as utilities and healthcare which have greater levels of fear-based behaviours.
The study finds that although good leaders don’t intentionally foster fear-based cultures, many unwittingly do. Despite over 50 per cent of UK organisations offering leadership development programmes, between 15 per cent and 22 per cent of all leadership behaviour remains fear-based.
This is because, like all humans, 90-95 per cent of a leader’s thoughts and behaviours are driven by their subconscious processing—which is often fear-based and shaped by emotional triggers, habits, and learned responses.
As a result, even highly experienced, well-intentioned leaders operate with fully deliberate, intentional thought only 5-10 per cent of the time, making them susceptible to automatic responses that may not align with either their own or the company’s values.
Williams said, “I see this as positive news for CEOs within retail. For those who have been left dissatisfied by the results of costly, time-intensive cultural interventions and leadership development programmes, there is a bright light at the end of the tunnel.
"Cultural Entropy costs will drastically reduce as leaders increase awareness of the subconscious patterns and habits that fuel fear-based leadership behaviours.
"As a coach, I use neuroscience-backed techniques, honed intuition, and rigorous diagnostics to help clients access and integrate what’s hidden in their subconscious. Integrating the subconscious with the conscious makes the invisible, visible – and what you can see you can address. At Neema, we call this ‘Integrated Leadership’.”
Two-thirds of retail leaders respondents say they will raise prices in response to increased NI costs while food inflation could hit 4.2 per cent by the end of 2025, a leading retailers' body has said citing a recent survey.
British Retail Consortium (BRC) today (15) released the findings of a survey of CFOs (Chief Financial Officers) at 52 leading retailers, revealing significant concern about trading conditions over the next 12 months.
Sentiment languished at a concerning -57 with 70 per cent of respondents “pessimistic” or “very pessimistic” about trading conditions over the coming 12 months, while just 13 per cent said they were “optimistic” or very “optimistic” (17 per cent were neither optimistic nor pessimistic).
The biggest concerns, all appearing in over 60 per cent of CFO’s “top 3 concerns for their business” were falling demand for goods and services, inflation for goods and services, and the increasing tax and regulatory burden.
When asked how they would be responding to the increases in employers’ National Insurance Contributions(NICs) (from April 2025), two-thirds stated they would raise prices (67 per cent), while around half said they would be reducing ‘number of hours/overtime’ (56 per cent), ‘head office headcount’ (52 per cent), and ‘stores headcount’ (46 per cent). Almost one third said the increased costs would lead to further automation (31 per cent).
The impact of the Budget on wider business investment was also clear, with 46 per cent of CFOs saying they would ‘reduce capital expenditure’ and 25 per cent saying they would ‘delay new store openings.’ 44 per cent of respondents expected reduced profits, which will further limit the capacity for investment.
This survey comes only a few weeks after 81 retail CEOs wrote to the Chancellor with their concerns about the economic consequences of the Budget. The letter noted that the retail industry’s costs could rise by over £7 billion in 2025 as a result of changes to employers’ NICs (£2.33 bn), National Living Wage increases (£2.73bn) and the reformed packaging levy (£2 billion).
The Budget is not the only challenge retailers are facing, with weak consumer confidence and low consumer demand also an issue. As part of the survey, CFOs offered their forecasts for the year ahead. These suggest that shop price inflation, currently at 0.5 per cent, will rise to an average of 2.2 per cent in the second half of 2025. This would be most pronounced for food, where inflation is expected to hit an average of 4.2 per cent in the second half of the year.
The forecast for sales was more muted. While sales growth is expected to improve on the 2024 level of just 0.7 per cent, at just 1.2 per cent this would still be below inflation. This means the industry could be facing a year of falling sales volumes at the same time as huge new costs resulting from the Budget.
Helen Dickinson, Chief Executive at the BRC, said, “With the Budget adding over £7bn to their bills in 2025, retailers are now facing into the difficult decisions about future investment, employment and pricing.
"As the largest private sector employer, employing many part-time and seasonal workers, the changes to the NI threshold have a disproportionate effect on both retailers and their supply chains, who together employ 5.7m people across the country.
“Retailers have worked hard to shield their customers from higher costs, but with slow market growth and margins already stretched thin, it is inevitable that consumers will bear some of the burden.
"The majority of retailers have little choice but to raise prices in response to these increased costs, and food inflation is expected to rise steadily over the year. Local communities may find themselves with sparser high streets and fewer retail jobs available. Government can still take steps to shore up retail investment and confidence.
"Business rates remain the biggest roadblock to new shops and jobs, with retailers paying over a fifth of the total rates bill. The Government must confirm the planned reforms will make a meaningful difference to retailers’ bills and that no shop will end up paying more.”
As UK and European retailers gear up for 2025, the grocery sector is poised for transformation, driven by renewed focus on fundamental retail practices, new revenue opportunities, and the growing demand for health and sustainability initiatives., highlights a new report.
A new report from IGD outlines six key trends that are set to shape the future of the grocery sector across the UK and Europe.
1. Optimising Retail Fundamentals for Success
While new technologies capture attention, UK and European retailers are reinforcing core retail fundamentals like stock availability, pricing, and promotions. Innovations like shelf-edge cameras and AI-driven stock management are improving these essential areas, ensuring a seamless shopping experience.
2. Exploring New Revenue Streams
As operating costs rise, UK retailers are diversifying their revenue sources by leveraging e-commerce technology, data monetisation, and B2B services. Tesco’s launch of Transcend, enabling other grocers to use its fulfilment tools, exemplifies the growing interest in non-traditional retail income streams.
3. Evolving Store Formats for Greater Flexibility
Retailers are adopting adaptable store designs that cater to evolving consumer needs and seasonal trends. The rise of modular store formats that feature event spaces, like FairPrice Finest in Singapore, is gaining traction in Europe, offering dynamic, customer-focused shopping experiences.
4. Seamless Connected Commerce
UK and European retailers are enhancing the integration of physical and digital retail, focusing on omnichannel experiences, loyalty programmes, and smart checkout solutions. AI-powered tools, like Target’s Store Companion, are simplifying store operations while enhancing customer engagement.
5. Health and Wellness Products Lead the Charge
Driven by growing health-conscious consumer demand, retailers in the UK and Europe are introducing more functional foods and health-focused products. The rise of initiatives like Cycle.me demonstrates a shift towards combining wellness with convenience, offering consumers greater choice in healthy, sustainable products.
6. Accelerating Sustainability Commitments
Retailers are intensifying their sustainability efforts, with a focus on reducing food waste, plastic packaging, and energy usage. Germany’s EDEKA Dorfmann sustainability store sets a new benchmark for eco-conscious retail, inspiring UK and European retailers to meet ambitious sustainability goals through innovative practices.
Stewart Samuel, Director of Retail Futures at IGD, commented, “As we move towards 2025, retailers must build on the foundation of global trends while ensuring they stay agile to rapidly evolving consumer demands.
"Focusing on the basics – stock availability, pricing, and promotions – remains critical to success. But at the same time, leveraging new revenue streams, embracing technological innovation, and championing health and sustainability are no longer optional; they are essential to staying competitive.
“Retailers who can successfully integrate these areas will not only future-proof their businesses but also build stronger relationships with increasingly conscious and demanding consumers.”