Covid Certification Extension Could See Over 75% of Hospitality Close

Scotland’s hospitality trade bodies (NTIA, SBPA, SHG, SLTA, UKH) have today released joint survey results highlighting the impossible financial situation that extension of vaccine certification would put the sector in.

A survey of more than 150 business owners and operators reveal the extent of the impact any extension would have on the hospitality sector, which is vital to local economies and the country’s tourism offer.

At the moment, 83.6 per cent of businesses say that turnover is down by over 10 per cent on pre-pandemic levels.

If vaccine passports were extended to wider hospitality:
• 76.2 per cent of businesses would not survive with the winter without further Government support.
• 95.4 per cent would have to cut staff hours (if trade reduced as expected).

The survey also found that for those businesses already impacted by the policy:
• 95.2 per cent say trade has been negatively impacted.
• 87.2 per cent have seen trade reduced by over 20 per cent since the introduction of the scheme.
• Less than 1 per cent say business has been unaffected.

“From this survey it is clear to see that Scotland’s hospitality sector is in a precarious situation, making the recovery period all the more important,” said the trade bodies in a joint statement. “Four out of Five (83.6 per cent) businesses are significantly below pre-pandemic levels and with inflation, debt levels and other costs rising, the sector is facing a very difficult winter ahead.

“The survey also shows that covid certification has a hugely negative impact on businesses already caught by the policy and any extension will have a devastating impact on the wider hospitality sector. Three quarters (76.2 per cent) say they would not survive without further economic support from Government, should the policy be extended.

“It’s a similarly worrying picture for staff with over 95 per cent of businesses saying that if trade reduced in line with expectations, they would have to reduce staff hours by the same or greater percentage as the loss of turnover. Given that turnover has reduced by 20% to 40% for businesses impacted by the scheme, this would be a devastating blow for the sector’s 100,000 workers just in the run-up to Christmas. The Scottish Government must take this into consideration when making the decision on any extension of the covid certification and provide the economic support to keep thousands of businesses afloat.”